It remains unknown exactly how many people will lose both their jobs and health insurance coverage during the COVID-19 recession, and definitive data will not be available until next year. Though employment rebounded somewhat after the huge job losses in March and April 2020, the economic recovery is uncertain and depends on the course of the coronavirus and efforts to mitigate its spread. Recent household surveys with smaller sample sizes than federal surveys have, however, indicated that net changes in insurance coverage thus far have been small.
Without definitive data on how health insurance coverage is currently changing and will change in the coming months, models that predict the effects of widespread employment losses on coverage play an important role in alerting policymakers to potential outcomes.
About the Urban Institute
The nonprofit Urban Institute is dedicated to elevating the debate on social and economic policy. For nearly five decades, Urban scholars have conducted research and offered evidence-based solutions that improve lives and strengthen communities across a rapidly urbanizing world. Their objective research helps expand opportunities for all, reduce hardship among the most vulnerable, and strengthen the effectiveness of the public sector. Visit the Urban Institute’s Health Policy Center for more information specific to its staff and its recent research.