F as in Fat: How Obesity Threatens America’s Future 2012 is the 9th edition of the annual report by RWJF and Trust for America’s Health.
For the first time, the report forecasts adult obesity rates in each state by 2030 and the likely resulting rise in obesity-related diseases and health care costs. Researchers used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System to model two scenarios: if obesity rates continue to rise on their current trajectory and if states reduce residents’ average body mass index by five percent by 2030.
The report also includes the most recent adult and childhood obesity rates for each state. In 2011, adult obesity rates exceeded 30 percent in 12 states. The new projection shows that, if rates continue to increase at the current pace, adult obesity rates could exceed 60 percent in 13 states, and all states could have rates above 44 percent by 2030.
On the basis of the data collected and a comprehensive analysis, RWJF and TFAH provide policy recommendations for reversing the epidemic and call for investments that match the severity of the health and financial toll the epidemic takes on the nation.